Imagine, 2 Full House! quite rare

Making a full house in poker is quite rare. Can you imagine a hand where two players each have a Full House? I saw that account in a recent game article describing such a grip in the game Hold’em Tournament Hand Matchup. This one involves the last two players still alive, the top two pros vying for first place and title money.

It was the head-up at Barcelona’s 2018 PartyPoker Live Millions Grand Final. Poker pro, Stephen Chidwick (with 28,025,000 chips), at Button has been dealt 7d-7c. Meanwhile, his remaining opponent, poker pro Jake Schindler (with 21,625,000 chips), in Big Blind, saw Qh-3 on the hole. Chidwick’s preflop, pocket 7 is the 70 percent favorite to win.

With blinds at 125,000 and 250,000, Chidwick is up to 525,000 with his pocket 7’s. Schindler calls to see the flop with his Qh-3 (Hi-Lo’s hand that will most likely fold on a full table). This is where the hands get really interesting – as you will see.

The failure is Ad-Qd-Qc. Schindler takes a Queens trip! Chances of catching a trip over the flop are over 70 to 1 against – a huge long shot! However, it can and does (rarely) happen. It’s just a matter of luck. With the Queens trip, Schindler is now a big favorite – estimated to be taking the pot about 80 percent of the time.

Hoping to knock out Chidwick and earn the title along with the first big prize, Schindler decided to slow down his hand. At Big Blind, he checked into Chidwick, who immediately wagered 250,000. Chidwick likely thought his pocket 7 was still in the lead. Based on probability, that makes sense in a heads-up game. Assuming Schindler didn’t fix his hand, maybe he would fold his cards into the Chidwick bet. (Little did he know Schindler had failed the Queens trip.)

The turn is another “eye-popper”: the 7th. That gave Chidwick Full House – 7-full-of-Q! Her hand is now 84 percent of the big favorites to pick up the pot. On the Turn, acting first from his Big Blind position, Schindler re-examines his travels on Queens. Once again, Chidwick opened a bet – 2,000,000, and Schindler just called. Maybe he thought he was setting a trap for his opponent and hoped to push him to the river.

Yes, it’s hard to believe, but River is another “eye opener” – Ac!

Now, Schindler’s Queen-full-of-Aces is flooding Chidwick’s seven-full-of-Aces. Two Full Houses in the same hand! Again, Schindler checks out of the Big Blind – perhaps hoping Chidwick will bet again, so he can then make a big raise, thereby increasing his chances of winning the tournament. However, with two partners, A and Q, on the board, Chidwick wisely decided to just examine his hands, saving himself from countless chips.

Schindler wins big pot with his Queens-full vs. Sevens-full opponents – two full-houses in one hand!

I ask myself if it’s a bad knock when I imagine Schindler scooping up this pot. At Turns, he went on a Queens trip against Full House Chidwick, a full 7 Q. At that point, Schindler only had four outs – one Queen (for the quads) and three Aces – making him a huge underdog. He can expect to be connected to the winning hand less than nine percent of the time. On that basis, we can think of this hand as a Bad Beat for Chidwick.

They cost a lot of valuable chips, but, I don’t think I’d call Chidwick’s loss a Bad Beat. He’s just unlucky. In fact, playing the $ 4- $ 8 limit tonight, during my seven hour session I observed three hands (I wasn’t involved) that had two Full Houses. Good luck to the winners.